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Highlights
Featured
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Steppe change: How Russia’s war on Ukraine is reshaping Kazakhstan
- Marie Dumoulin
- Policy Brief
Domestic unrest and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine left Kazakhstan in a precarious position. The EU should devise an approach that encourages and guides the country to genuine domestic transformation.
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The art of vassalisation: How Russia’s war on Ukraine has transformed transatlantic relations
- Jana Puglierin, Jeremy Shapiro
- Policy Brief
Europeans’ response to Russia’s war on Ukraine confirms their profound dependence on the US – an unwise position given the security challenge in Europe and coming geopolitical competition with China
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Autumn of the patriarch: How to help Tunisians defend their democracy
- Tarek Megerisi
- Policy Brief
Tunisia’s autocratic president is leading the country to the brink. The EU and member states should act now to support Tunisian democracy.
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Fragile unity: Why Europeans are coming together on Ukraine (and what might drive them apart)
- Ivan Krastev, Mark Leonard
- Policy Brief
Recent polling for ECFR suggests that Europeans have come closer together in their support for Ukraine. But the factors driving this unity are fragile, contingent, and may not last
Upcoming events
European energy security: One year into Russia’s war in Ukraine
- Online
- ECFR Warsaw
Podcasts
The US, Europe, and the art of vassalisation
This week, Mark Leonard welcomes Jeremy Shapiro and Jana Puglierin to discuss EU-US relations
Featured projects
European Sovereignty
To prosper and maintain their independence in a world of geopolitical competition, the EU needs to learn to think like a geopolitical power
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European Sovereignty Index
- Jana Puglierin, Pawel Zerka (eds.)
Re:shape Global Europe
The project strives to engage citizens across Europe and generate a wide debate about the purpose of European power in the twenty-first century
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The Power Atlas
- Mark Leonard (ed.)
Public opinion polling
Through polling in EU member states, ECFR’s analysis seeks to unlock shifting coalitions in Europe that favour a more internationally engaged union
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Fragile unity: Why Europeans are coming together on Ukraine (and what might drive them apart)
- Ivan Krastev, Mark Leonard
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Latest
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The weight of history: Why the recent thaw in South Korea-Japan relations may not last
- Alexander Lipke, Elli-Katharina Pohlkamp
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
A recent thaw in ties between the EU’s two most important partners in East Asia is a potential game-changer for a region fraught with geopolitical danger – but complex domestic politics in both countries may yet derail a truly long-lasting rapprochement
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Leaders, realists, progressives: The three Democratic ‘tribes’ that could shape European relations with America
- Célia Belin
- Commentary
- 7 minute read
US policy on Ukraine has reassured Europeans. But as it prepares for re-election, the Biden administration will likely adopt more realist and progressive positions
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The Zelensky-Lukashenka-Tsikhanouskaya triangle: Understanding Ukraine’s relationship with the Belarusian opposition
- Margaryta Khvostova, Dmytro Kryvosheiev, Pavel Slunkin
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Despite their common goals, the Ukrainian authorities have shown little interest in cooperating with the Belarusian opposition. As an ally to both, the EU can facilitate their understanding and engagement
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Economic peacefare: Lessons for the future of European sanctions strategy
- Tobias Gehrke
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
An effective sanctions campaign in wartime needs to be linked to a strategic industrial policy and technology control agenda in peacetime
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Xi Jinping’s idea of world order
- Mark Leonard
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
The real battle for international supremacy today is not between democracies and autocracies, but between different models of global order, with China and the West each offering its own distinct account of “democracy”. The sooner that Western leaders recognise this, the better chance they will have of attracting new partners
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Bad cop in Brussels: How the European Commission is driving the China narrative – again
- Janka Oertel, Andrew Small
- Interview
- 6 minute read
Numerous European leaders are beating a path to Beijing’s door. ECFR Asia director Janka Oertel and the German Marshall Fund’s Andrew Small reflect on European wishful thinking, clever tactical manoeuvres, and long-term strategic choices.
Our experts are available for media requests. Our work involves many issues relating to Europe and foreign policy, and our programmes focus on Africa, Asia, the Middle East & North Africa, and Wider Europe.
Europe’s unity over the war in Ukraine could evaporate in the face of a successful Russian counter-offensive
Krastev and Leonard reflect on the European unity after the war
Many people in the Global South wish to build a new multipolar world
A recent report by the ECFR points out that America’s global hegemony is rapidly declining
Why would anyone move capital to such an insecure and unstable place as Russia? There are neither premises nor motivations to do so
Arturo Varvelli explains why the possibility of Russia becoming a tax haven should be considered unlikely
Change is under way in Kazakhstan, both domestically and in its geopolitical standing
More on Africa
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Tricks of the trade: Strengthening EU-African cooperation on trade in services
- Iza Lejarraga
- Policy Brief
Services play an increasingly important role in international trade. Improving EU-African trade in services would have wide-ranging benefits for both sides
Rerouting goodwill: The risks of diverting aid from Africa to Europe
- Sara Harcourt, David McNair
- View from the Council
- 3 minute read
Russia under pressure: How Europe and the US are upping the ante in Africa
- Theodore Murphy
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
More on Asia
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A question of balance: India and Europe after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine
- Frédéric Grare
- Policy Brief
Europeans have found India’s position on the Ukraine war frustrating. But, although it is dependent on Russia for its arms, and has huge worries about China, India is actually moving inexorably closer to the West.
The shoots of stability: What the Saudi-Iran deal means for the Middle East and Europe
- Julien Barnes-Dacey, Cinzia Bianco, Ellie Geranmayeh
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
Hidden women: How European countries can help protect Afghan women’s rights
- Mireia Faro Sarrats
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
More on European Power
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United West, divided from the rest: Global public opinion one year into Russia’s war on Ukraine
- Timothy Garton Ash, Ivan Krastev, Mark Leonard
- Policy Brief
New polling for ECFR reveals the West is consolidating – while facing an increasingly post-Western world, in which powers such as India and Turkiye are readier than ever to act independently
The German scapegoat: Berlin’s inevitable role in the US presidential election
- Jana Puglierin, Majda Ruge
- Note from Berlin
- 3 minute read
Sanity returns to British foreign policy
- Nick Witney
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
More on Middle East and North Africa
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Opening the Global Gateway: Why the EU should invest more in the southern neighbourhood
- Alberto Rizzi, Arturo Varvelli
- Policy Brief
The EU should invest more Global Gateway funding in the southern neighbourhood, helping it achieve strategic nearshoring, clean energy, and regional connectivity goals
The shoots of stability: What the Saudi-Iran deal means for the Middle East and Europe
- Julien Barnes-Dacey, Cinzia Bianco, Ellie Geranmayeh
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
Saied’s crackdown: How the EU can stand up for human rights in Tunisia
- Anthony Dworkin
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
More on Wider Europe
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The politics of dialogue: How the EU can change the conversation in Kosovo and Serbia
- Engjellushe Morina
- Policy Brief
A new agreement between Kosovo and Serbia is a welcome step – but the EU can transform the situation by setting out clearer accession prospects for both countries
Population-centric: Lessons from Russia’s hybrid war in Moldova
- Dumitru Minzarari
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Resist and reform: Ukraine’s democracy after a year of war
- Margaryta Khvostova
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Views from the Council
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Rerouting goodwill: The risks of diverting aid from Africa to Europe
- Sara Harcourt, David McNair
- View from the Council
- 3 minute read
European countries risk undermining their Africa strategies if they continue to neglect the numerous crises on the continent and divert aid to Europe
The power of pragmatism: Nuclear energy, technological innovation, and the green transition
- Svilen Spasov
- View from the Council
- 5 minute read
Iran’s revolution of freedom
- Norbert Röttgen
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read