ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 201807
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0107 PM CDT Mon Mar 20 2023
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes to the ongoing forecast.
..Wendt.. 03/20/2023
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Mon Mar 20 2023/
...Synopsis...
Zonal flow aloft will trend more southwesterly with time over
portions of the southern and central Rockies ahead of a deepening
mid-level trough over the Desert Southwest. While not overly strong,
a persistent lee cyclone should support gusty surface winds across
much of the southern and central High Plains D2/Tuesday. Localized
fire-weather potential may develop to the southwest of the surface
low over portions of the southern High Plains.
...Southern High Plains...
Broad southerly flow ahead of the surface low should gradually veer
to southwesterly through the day across portions of the southern
High Plains. Downslope trajectories and increased mixing from
strengthening flow aloft ahead of the upper trough will favor some
drying of the surface airmass. While to the east, returning Gulf
moisture should keep humidity values above criteria, isolated
pockets below 25% are possible across the TX/OK Panhandles and
northeastern NM Tuesday afternoon. Wind gusts to near 20 kt may
briefly overlap with the lower relative humidity, supporting a risk
for some fire-weather concerns. However, uncertainty on the spatial
and temporal overlap of dry and windy conditions remains high,
suggesting the fire-weather threat will remain localized.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
CLICK FOR DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)