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Berkeley Earth
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Climate science, data, & quality analysis. Independent, non-governmental, open-source. 2021 report: berkeleyearth.org/global-tempera
Berkeley, CA USAberkeleyearth.orgJoined July 2013

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Our 2022 State of the Climate report is out over at ! ⬆️ Record ocean heat content ⬆️ 5th or 6th warmest on surface ⬆️ 2nd warmest with El Nino/La Nina removed ⬆️ Warmest for 28 countries / 850 million people ⬆️ Record high GHGs, sea level
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Based on the recent rate of warming, the Earth would reach the 1.5 °C (2.7 °F) warming threshold around 2034, and 2.0 °C (3.6 °F) around 2060. To avoid this outcome, and meet Paris Agreement goals, it would be necessary to rapidly reduce greenhouse gas emissions. 8/
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Beginning with the ongoing La Niña, we expect that 2023 will be similar to or slightly warmer than 2022, but with considerable uncertainty depending on how the La Niña/El Niño situation evolves. 2023 will almost certainly be another top 10 warmest year. 7/
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The current La Niña began in 2020 and continues in 2023. This makes it relatively long-lived, though not exceptionally so. This has contributed to somewhat lower global temperatures in the last few years. 5/
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In addition to pronounced warmth over Asia & Europe, the most prominent feature of 2022 was the cool La Niña in the Eastern Equatorial Pacific. La Niña, the cool counterpart of El Niño, is a form of internal ocean variability that somewhat reduces global temperatures. 4/
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In our estimation, new annual national-average records were set in 28 countries, including France, Italy, Germany, Spain, UK, China, New Zealand, Switzerland, and others. Chart of national average temperature anomalies in 2022, with new records shown by black circles. 3/
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Though not a record year for the global average, 8.5% of the Earth's surface experienced their warmest annual average on record during 2022. Approximately 850 million people live in areas that had their locally warmest year on record, including most of Western Europe. 2/
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We have been distributing embargoed copies of our annual temperature report to journalists. If you are a journalist and would like an embargoed copy, feel free to provide an email address here or in DM.
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Extremely unseasonable warmth in Europe is likely a symptom of global warming. Though if there is a silver lining, the reduced heating demand will help those dealing with high energy prices due to supply disruptions & the war in Ukraine. Glass half full... until it shatters?
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The ongoing cooling effect of La Niña has played a role in keeping 2022 cooler than other recent record years. Year-to-date the most significant features of 2022's temperature patterns are warmth over Europe and Asia, and a La Niña associated cooling in the equatorial Pacific.
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Though November 2022 was unusually cool compared to other months this year, every month in 2022 has still been at least 1.1 °C (2.0 °F) warmer than the preindustrial average. Making the year-to-date average the 5th warmest on record.
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In November 2022, 5.4% of the Earth's surface was measured to have a local record warm November, including southern South America, eastern Asia, and parts of the Middle East. In addition, an unusually large 0.6% of the Earth's surface set a record low monthly average.
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As with other recent months, most of the Earth's surface had above normal temperatures in November. However, the global average was brought down by significant regional cooling, including in western North America, Australia, and Antarctica.
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November 2022 was sharply cooler than October, with the global average falling more than 0.2 °C (0.4 °F), and producing the coldest month since February 2021. This shift was mostly due to sharply falling temperatures in selected land areas.
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A major outbreak of Arctic air is forecast for the USA in time for Christmas. The red/blue colors on the map show how far above or below normal temperatures are expected to be (in °F). Temperatures more than 30 °F below normal will be widespread, with some areas much colder.
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To use our new high-res data set for commercial purposes, please email [email protected] for info about a potential partnership. (Remember: Our data products, graphics, & research are licensed under Creative Commons BY-NC 4.0 International for non-commercial use.)
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