Early election poll shows: No 61-seat majority for either side

At this early stage, it appears that neither side has a clear route to forming a government.

Opposition leader Benjamin Netanyahu and alternate Prime Minister, Yesh Atid leader Yair Lapid  (photo credit: YONATAN SINDEL/FLASH90)
Opposition leader Benjamin Netanyahu and alternate Prime Minister, Yesh Atid leader Yair Lapid
(photo credit: YONATAN SINDEL/FLASH90)

A poll posted on Tuesday morning by 103FM predicts another election will end with no government supported by at least 61MKs.

Who gains, who loses?

The survey shows that the Likud Party has gained a seat since a previous 103FM poll on May 26 and is predicted to receive 36 seats, with Yesh Atid at 20 seats.

The Religious Zionist Party of Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir, wins 10 seats, up from nine since the last poll.

The poll shows that Blue and White and Labor will retain the seats they currently have — eight and seven respectively. The Joint List will retain their six seats.

Read more on the dissolution of the Knesset and the upcoming elections:

On the other hand, Shas is predicted to lose two seats, and United Torah Judaism is predicted to lose one, bringing them down to seven and six seats respectively.

 PRIME MINISTER Naftali Bennett sits at the government table in the Knesset plenum with Foreign Minister Yair Lapid and Defense Minister Benny Gantz. Might Bennett go the way of Sharon, Olmert and Livni? (credit: YONATAN SINDEL/FLASH 90) PRIME MINISTER Naftali Bennett sits at the government table in the Knesset plenum with Foreign Minister Yair Lapid and Defense Minister Benny Gantz. Might Bennett go the way of Sharon, Olmert and Livni? (credit: YONATAN SINDEL/FLASH 90)

However, outgoing Prime Minister Naftali Bennett’s Yamina party is predicted to regain three seats, from four to seven.

Avigdor Liberman’s Yisrael Beytenu could drop from seven seats to five, while Ra’am and New Hope are predicted to pass the threshold with the minimum requirement of four seats each.

Read more on the dissolution of the Knesset and the upcoming elections:

At this stage, Meretz continues to be in danger of not passing the threshold, despite the six seats they currently hold.

As it stands, the right-wing bloc led by Opposition leader Benjamin Netanyahu is predicted to receive 59 seats, and the Lapid-Bennett bloc is projected to receive 55, meaning neither bloc has the ability to form a 61-seat majority government.

KAN poll

On Tuesday evening, KAN published a poll as well finding that, if elections were held today, the Likud Party would earn 36 seats, followed by Yesh Atid with 21 seats.

Meanwhile, Blue and White and the Religious Zionist party would both earn nine seats. The Shas party would earn eight seats, while the United Torah Judaism party would earn seven seats.

The Joint List and Labor Party would each earn six seats, while Prime Minister Naftali Bennett's Yamina party would only earn five seats. Yisrael Beytenu would also earn five seats, while the New Hope and Ra'am parties would each earn four seats.

Meretz would not pass the electoral threshold.

According to the KAN poll, the bloc that supports opposition leader Benjamin Netanyahu would earn 60 seats, while the parties in the current coalition would earn 54 seats, meaning both blocs would not have a majority and would not be able to form a government.

Channel 13 poll

According to a Channel 13 poll published on Tuesday evening, if elections were held today, the Likud Party would earn 35 seats, followed by Yesh Atid with 22 seats.

Meanwhile, the Religious Zionist party would earn nine seats and the Shas party would earn eight seats. The Blue and White Party and United Torah Judaism party would earn seven seats each.

Following them, the Joint List would earn six seats, while the Labor Party and Yisrael Beytenu would earn five seats each. Prime Minister Naftali Bennett's Yamina party and the Meretz party would each earn four seats, as would the New Hope and Ra'am parties.

According to the Channel 13 poll, the bloc that supports opposition leader Benjamin Netanyahu would earn 59 seats, while the parties in the current coalition would earn 55 seats, meaning both blocs would not have a majority and would not be able to form a government.

Channel 14 poll

According to a Channel 14 poll published on Tuesday evening, if elections were held today, the Likud Party would earn 36 seats, followed by Yesh Atid with 20 seats.

Meanwhile, the Religious Zionist party would earn nine seats and the Shas party would earn eight seats. The Blue and White Party and the United Torah Judaism party would earn seven seats each.

Following them, the Joint List and Yisrael Beytenu would earn six seats, while the Labor Party would earn five seats. Prime Minister Naftali Bennett's Yamina party and the Meretz party would each earn four seats, as would the New Hope and Ra'am parties.

According to the Channel 14 poll, the bloc that supports opposition leader Benjamin Netanyahu would earn 60 seats, while the parties in the current coalition would earn 54 seats, meaning both blocs would not have a majority and would not be able to form a government.

Channel 12

According to a Channel 12 poll published on Tuesday evening, if elections were held today, the Likud Party would earn 35 seats, followed by Yesh Atid with 20 seats.

Meanwhile, the Blue and White and Religious Zionist parties would each earn nine seats and the Shas party would earn eight seats. United Torah Judaism would earn seven seats.

Following them, the Labor would earn six seats, while the Joint List and Yisrael Beytenu would earn five seats. Prime Minister Naftali Bennett's Yamina party and the Meretz party would each earn four seats, as would the New Hope and Ra'am parties.

According to the Channel 12 poll, the bloc that supports opposition leader Benjamin Netanyahu would earn 59 seats, while the parties in the current coalition would earn 56 seats, meaning both blocs would not have a majority and would not be able to form a government.