Economic Take
The Odd Dip In Consumer Sentiment

The Odd Dip In Consumer Sentiment

October 19, 2021

Consumer sentiment is in a rut since this summer—and that can help us forecast future trends in the U.S. With some added historical perspective, consumers right now have it pretty good.

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Foot’s Coming Off the Gas, But No Brakes Yet

Foot’s Coming Off the Gas, But No Brakes Yet

October 12, 2021

What we’re anticipating from the Fed for the next few years isn’t monetary tightening, but a gradual easing of monetary accommodation. And a few good reasons to downplay a slim September jobs report.

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Reading into the Latest on Jobs, Rates and Rents

Reading into the Latest on Jobs, Rates and Rents

October 5, 2021

October’s jobs report and profit reports will tell us plenty about the momentum in the market. And a rise in mortgage rates from their pandemic lows could be a boost for landlords.

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The Fed’s Evolution, and Air Travel’s Indicators

The Fed’s Evolution, and Air Travel’s Indicators

September 28, 2021

As the economy rebounds, the Fed’s not budging — a clear sign of the Fed’s rethinking since a decade ago. Also, a look at why air travel numbers are a signal for the broader economy.

 

Blue Skies for the Multifamily Sector

Blue Skies for the Multifamily Sector

September 21, 2021

This year’s surge in housing prices doesn’t have much in common with the crisis from a decade ago. Behind it is a positive change in household buying power driven by lower mortgage rates and higher incomes.

 

How Small Businesses Have Updated Their Playbook

How Small Businesses Have Updated Their Playbook

September 14, 2021

Small businesses saw both the challenges and opportunities of economic upheaval the last year. Chase for Business joined the Economic Take podcast to unpack how the economy and labor shortages are impacting small businesses—and how entrepreneurs are adapting.

 

Why the Gap Between GDP and Jobs Matters

Why the Gap Between GDP and Jobs Matters

September 7, 2021

GDP is back to pre-pandemic levels, the economy is still short millions of jobs and businesses are struggling to fill job openings. The gap between national output and employment could lead to a few different scenarios, and each one looks different for growth and Fed policy in the years ahead.

 

What’s Driving the Current Earnings Bonanza

What’s Driving the Current Earnings Bonanza

August 31, 2021

The value of the U.S. stock market now is twice the size of the U.S. economy. What macroeconomic factors led to the market’s record highs, and what’s on the horizon?

A Lasting COVID Effect: Increased Labor Productivity

A Lasting COVID Effect: Increased Labor Productivity

August 24, 2021

Businesses finally took a long-needed leap toward automation. (It was a global pandemic that provided the shove.)

 

 

 

What the Fed Tunes Out from Inflation Measurements, and Why

What the Fed Tunes Out from Inflation Measurements, and Why

August 17, 2021

By focusing on the core and not the more volatile sectors like food and energy, the Fed gets a steadier look at the big economic picture. Still, economists are gravitating toward other gauges of inflation.

 

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